We believe in transparency. Here's how our wait time predictions compare to actual posted times, updated daily.
Rides ranked by prediction accuracy. Higher is better.
| Ride | Park | Accuracy | Avg Error | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spaceship Earth | EPCOT | 100% | 3 min | 15 |
| Journey Into Imagination With Figment | EPCOT | 100% | 2 min | 15 |
| Turtle Talk With Crush | EPCOT | 100% | 3 min | 15 |
| Reflections of China | EPCOT | 100% | 3 min | 15 |
| Living with the Land | EPCOT | 100% | 4 min | 15 |
| Gran Fiesta Tour Starring The Three Caballeros | EPCOT | 100% | 2 min | 15 |
| Canada Far and Wide in Circle-Vision 360 | EPCOT | 100% | 2 min | 15 |
| Gorilla Falls Exploration Trail | Animal Kingdom | 100% | 0 min | 15 |
| Maharajah Jungle Trek | Animal Kingdom | 100% | 0 min | 15 |
| Star Tours – The Adventures Continue | Hollywood Studios | 100% | 5 min | 15 |
| Vacation Fun - An Original Animated Short with Mickey & Minnie | Hollywood Studios | 100% | 1 min | 15 |
| The Seas with Nemo & Friends | EPCOT | 93% | 3 min | 15 |
| Mission: SPACE | EPCOT | 93% | 4 min | 15 |
| Zootopia: Better Zoogether! - NEW! | Animal Kingdom | 93% | 4 min | 15 |
| Expedition Everest - Legend of the Forbidden Mountain | Animal Kingdom | 87% | 7 min | 15 |
| Toy Story Mania! | Hollywood Studios | 73% | 8 min | 15 |
| Alien Swirling Saucers | Hollywood Studios | 73% | 6 min | 15 |
| Remy's Ratatouille Adventure | EPCOT | 67% | 9 min | 15 |
| Frozen Ever After | EPCOT | 67% | 9 min | 15 |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | Animal Kingdom | 67% | 10 min | 15 |
| Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway | Hollywood Studios | 67% | 9 min | 15 |
| The Twilight Zone™ Tower of Terror | Hollywood Studios | 60% | 14 min | 5 |
| The Twilight Zone Tower of Terror™ | Hollywood Studios | 60% | 10 min | 10 |
| Soarin' Around the World | EPCOT | 53% | 13 min | 15 |
| Na'vi River Journey | Animal Kingdom | 53% | 9 min | 15 |
| Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run - A New Mission | Hollywood Studios | 50% | 16 min | 6 |
| Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run | Hollywood Studios | 47% | 16 min | 15 |
| Test Track | EPCOT | 40% | 17 min | 15 |
| Slinky Dog Dash | Hollywood Studios | 40% | 20 min | 15 |
| Guardians of the Galaxy: Cosmic Rewind | EPCOT | 33% | 21 min | 15 |
| Avatar Flight of Passage | Animal Kingdom | 33% | 18 min | 15 |
| Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance | Hollywood Studios | 27% | 28 min | 15 |
| Kali River Rapids | Animal Kingdom | 20% | 20 min | 15 |
Our prediction engine uses a 3-layer weighted model trained on real wait time data collected every 5 minutes from all Walt Disney World theme parks.
Layer 1 — Day-of-Week Averages: Recency-weighted averages from the same day of week over the past 60 days. Recent data is weighted more heavily using exponential decay.
Layer 2 — Momentum: A 7-day vs 30-day trailing trend multiplier that detects whether crowds are rising or falling.
Layer 3 — Seasonal Calendar: Overlays for Spring Break, summer, holidays, and special events that historically affect crowd levels.
Accuracy is measured as the percentage of individual ride predictions that fall within 10 minutes of the actual posted wait time, calculated at end of day.