How often does Dumbo the Flying Elephant break down?

Over the last 90 days we recorded 76 real breakdown episodes for Dumbo the Flying Elephant — about 5.9 per week, spread across 50 different days. These are observed status changes from live park data, not estimates.

How long is Dumbo the Flying Elephant usually down when it breaks down?

The median recorded outage for Dumbo the Flying Elephant lasted 48 minutes (average 61 minutes). The longest outage we observed in the last 90 days lasted 247 minutes, on 2026-08-06.

Dumbo the Flying Elephant Reliability & Wait Patterns

Magic Kingdom · Fantasyland · Based on 20633 wait-time samples

0.62

Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)

Moderately volatile — expect meaningful hourly swings.

20m

Typical (p50) wait

35m

Busy (p90) wait

45m

Worst-case (p99)

65m

All-time max

Weekend vs Weekday

21m

Weekday average

17m

Weekend average

0.80×

Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Dumbo the Flying Elephant flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

Recorded breakdowns

48m

Typical (median) outage

4h 7m

Longest outage (2026-08-06)

5.9

Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

Date	Down for
2026-09-01	46m
2026-08-31	35m
2026-08-29	1h 13m
2026-08-29	28m
2026-08-28	1h 37m
2026-08-27	54m
2026-08-26	2h 55m
2026-08-26	18m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 50 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).

0
87%

1
99%

2
100%

3
100%

4
100%

5
100%

6
100%

7
85%

8
38%

9
0%

10
0%

11
0%

12
0%

13
0%

14
1%

15
2%

16
1%

17
4%

18
1%

19
0%

20
2%

21
6%

22
13%

23
84%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	7	18	24	35	29	33	25	22	22	23	15	14	18	11	6
Tue	12	18	26	34	26	34	28	18	25	25	22	20	15	9	5
Wed	10	16	27	33	27	29	29	20	26	22	24	20	13	10	9
Thu	6	19	26	32	31	32	27	22	29	25	26	21	12	7	7
Fri	5	12	26	32	30	34	26	25	28	27	26	23	15	10	9
Sat	6	7	16	26	24	23	25	17	22	23	25	20	11	9	6
Sun	5	18	20	25	22	25	22	18	17	15	16	13	9	6	5

Weather effect on waits

Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:

18m

Clear

20m

Cloudy

23m

Drizzle

20m

Partly Cloudy

22m

Rain

When this ride goes down

These rides spike in wait time when Dumbo the Flying Elephant is reported DOWN:

The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh

+5m (13%)

Astro Orbiter

+-6m (-25%)

What causes this ride to spike

Waits for Dumbo the Flying Elephant go up the most when these rides are DOWN:

Enchanted Tales with Belle

+6m (31%)

Astro Orbiter

+-5m (-26%)

"it's a small world"

+-6m (-27%)

The Hall of Presidents

+-6m (-31%)

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DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	7	18	24	35	29	33	25	22	22	23	15	14	18	11	6
Tue	12	18	26	34	26	34	28	18	25	25	22	20	15	9	5
Wed	10	16	27	33	27	29	29	20	26	22	24	20	13	10	9
Thu	6	19	26	32	31	32	27	22	29	25	26	21	12	7	7
Fri	5	12	26	32	30	34	26	25	28	27	26	23	15	10	9
Sat	6	7	16	26	24	23	25	17	22	23	25	20	11	9	6
Sun	5	18	20	25	22	25	22	18	17	15	16	13	9	6	5

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	7	18	24	35	29	33	25	22	22	23	15	14	18	11	6
Tue	12	18	26	34	26	34	28	18	25	25	22	20	15	9	5
Wed	10	16	27	33	27	29	29	20	26	22	24	20	13	10	9
Thu	6	19	26	32	31	32	27	22	29	25	26	21	12	7	7
Fri	5	12	26	32	30	34	26	25	28	27	26	23	15	10	9
Sat	6	7	16	26	24	23	25	17	22	23	25	20	11	9	6
Sun	5	18	20	25	22	25	22	18	17	15	16	13	9	6	5

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	7	18	24	35	29	33	25	22	22	23	15	14	18	11	6
Tue	12	18	26	34	26	34	28	18	25	25	22	20	15	9	5
Wed	10	16	27	33	27	29	29	20	26	22	24	20	13	10	9
Thu	6	19	26	32	31	32	27	22	29	25	26	21	12	7	7
Fri	5	12	26	32	30	34	26	25	28	27	26	23	15	10	9
Sat	6	7	16	26	24	23	25	17	22	23	25	20	11	9	6
Sun	5	18	20	25	22	25	22	18	17	15	16	13	9	6	5