Tokyo DisneySea Today
September 18, 2026 · Friday
High Crowds Expected
Tokyo DisneySea expects high crowds on September 18, 2026, with an average predicted wait of 34 min minutes across 29 rides. The best time to arrive is 7 AM. Peak waits are predicted to reach 124 min minutes.
34 min
Avg Predicted Wait
124 min
Peak Predicted Wait
7 AM
Best Hour to Arrive
29
Rides Tracked
Today's Strategy
- Arrive by 7 AM for the shortest waits (avg 5 min).
- Consider Lightning Lane for Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey — predicted 124+ min wait.
⏱ Rope Drop Pick
Early Theme Park Entry
Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey
112 min
vs 166 min peak
Save 54 min
Raging Spirits
17 min
vs 69 min peak
Save 52 min
All Guests
Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey
112 min
vs 166 min peak
Save 54 min
Raging Spirits
17 min
vs 69 min peak
Save 52 min
⏰ Peak Hours & Hotel Break
Peak Window
10 AM - 1 PM
Avg 73 min waits
Hotel Break
10 AM - 1 PM
Headliner waits average 73 min (10 AM-1 PM) vs 52 min park-wide. Skip the lines — hit the pool.
🍴 Dining Strategy
Eat lunch at 10 AM (headliners at 79 min), then ride at 12 PM (67 min) — save 95 min across top rides. Eat dinner at 4 PM (64 min), then ride at 7 PM (43 min) — save 130 min.
Lunch
Eat at
10 AM
79 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
12 PM
67 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey
166 min
→
127 min
(-39)
Toy Story Mania!
131 min
→
101 min
(-30)
Tower of Terror
101 min
→
75 min
(-26)
Total saved: 95 min
Dinner
Eat at
4 PM
64 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
7 PM
43 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey
128 min
→
80 min
(-48)
Soaring: Fantastic Flight
127 min
→
85 min
(-42)
Toy Story Mania!
119 min
→
79 min
(-40)
Total saved: 130 min
📈 Wait Time Escalation
How fast waits climb from park open. Headliners only.
Raging Spirits
+46 min in 3h
Park Open
17
min
+1h
63
min
+2h
62
min
+3h
63
min
Journey to the Center of the Earth
+39 min in 3h
Park Open
79
min
+1h
130
min
+2h
124
min
+3h
118
min
Peter Pan's Never Land Adventure
+27 min in 3h
Park Open
27
min
+1h
62
min
+2h
57
min
+3h
54
min
Blowfish Balloon Race
+23 min in 3h
Park Open
6
min
+1h
18
min
+2h
27
min
+3h
29
min
Tower of Terror
+21 min in 3h
Park Open
54
min
+1h
101
min
+2h
90
min
+3h
75
min
Tokyo DisneySea — Predicted Crowd Level by Hour
Ride-by-Ride Predictions
Prediction Accuracy (So Far)
93%
Accurate
Our predictions were 93% accurate so far today at Tokyo DisneySea, with an average error of 5 minutes across 27 rides tracked.
A prediction is "accurate" when within 10 minutes of the actual average wait.
Daily Average by Ride 27 rides
| Ride | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey | 124m | 129m | ✓ |
| Soaring: Fantastic Flight | 122m | 119m | ✓ |
| Journey to the Center of the Earth | 112m | 120m | ✓ |
| Toy Story Mania! | 102m | 79m | 23m off |
| Tower of Terror | 72m | 63m | ✓ |
| Raging Spirits | 39m | 36m | ✓ |
| Peter Pan's Never Land Adventure | 39m | 36m | ✓ |
| Rapunzel's Lantern Festival | 37m | 36m | ✓ |
| Fairy Tinker Bell's Busy Buggies | 33m | 34m | ✓ |
| Venetian Gondolas | 22m | 10m | 12m off |
| Blowfish Balloon Race | 21m | 12m | ✓ |
| DisneySea Electric Railway (American Waterfront) | 19m | 13m | ✓ |
| Turtle Talk | 19m | 18m | ✓ |
| Flounder's Flying Fish Coaster | 18m | 12m | ✓ |
| The Whirlpool | 17m | 7m | ✓ |
| 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea | 16m | 12m | ✓ |
| DisneySea Electric Railway (Port Discovery) | 16m | 8m | ✓ |
| Nemo & Friends SeaRider | 16m | 15m | ✓ |
| Jumpin' Jellyfish | 15m | 8m | ✓ |
| The Magic Lamp Theater | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| Jasmine's Flying Carpets | 14m | 13m | ✓ |
| Scuttle's Scooters | 11m | 9m | ✓ |
| Caravan Carousel | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| Sindbad's Storybook Voyage | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| DisneySea Transit Steamer Line (American Waterfront) | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| DisneySea Transit Steamer Line (Lost River Delta) | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| The Leonardo Challenge | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
Biggest miss: Toy Story Mania! (predicted 102m, actual 79m).
Hourly Breakdown 4 hours
How accurate were predictions for each hour of the day, averaged across all rides.
| Hour | Accuracy | Avg Error | Rides |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 62% | 9m | 24 |
| 10 AM | 36% | 26m | 25 |
| 11 AM | 30% | 30m | 23 |
| 12 PM | 24% | 26m | 25 |
Per-Ride Hourly Detail expand each ride
Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 139m | 128m | 11m |
| 10 AM | 198m | 165m | 33m |
| 11 AM | 200m | 121m | 79m |
| 12 PM | 172m | 106m | 66m |
Soaring: Fantastic Flight 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 146m | 123m | 23m |
| 10 AM | 177m | 115m | 62m |
| 11 AM | 157m | 120m | 37m |
| 12 PM | 154m | 116m | 38m |
Journey to the Center of the Earth 8m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 99m | 110m | 11m |
| 10 AM | 172m | 114m | 58m |
| 11 AM | 157m | 134m | 23m |
| 12 PM | 166m | 119m | 47m |
Toy Story Mania! 23m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 121m | 94m | 27m |
| 10 AM | 149m | 89m | 60m |
| 11 AM | 121m | 56m | 65m |
Tower of Terror 9m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 67m | 56m | 11m |
| 10 AM | 121m | 70m | 51m |
| 11 AM | 107m | 61m | 46m |
| 12 PM | 107m | 68m | 39m |
Raging Spirits 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 38m | 17m | 21m |
| 10 AM | 102m | 40m | 62m |
| 11 AM | 104m | 40m | 64m |
| 12 PM | 111m | 47m | 64m |
Peter Pan's Never Land Adventure 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 53m | 24m | 29m |
| 10 AM | 94m | 44m | 50m |
| 11 AM | 97m | 40m | 57m |
| 12 PM | 97m | 36m | 61m |
Rapunzel's Lantern Festival 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 65m | 26m | 39m |
| 10 AM | 133m | 44m | 89m |
| 11 AM | 136m | 40m | 96m |
| 12 PM | 112m | 34m | 78m |
Fairy Tinker Bell's Busy Buggies 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 31m | 23m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 54m | 39m | 15m |
| 11 AM | 48m | 38m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 52m | 38m | 14m |
Venetian Gondolas 12m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 22m | 15m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 19m | 8m | 11m |
Blowfish Balloon Race 9m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 29m | 8m | 21m |
| 11 AM | 37m | 15m | 22m |
| 12 PM | 36m | 19m | 17m |
DisneySea Electric Railway (American Waterfront) 6m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 6m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 16m | 14m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 17m | 14m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 12m | 19m | ✓ |
Turtle Talk 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 18m | 17m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 37m | 17m | 20m |
| 11 AM | 34m | 18m | 16m |
| 12 PM | 34m | 21m | 13m |
Flounder's Flying Fish Coaster 6m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 27m | 11m | 16m |
| 11 AM | 31m | 16m | 15m |
| 12 PM | 35m | 18m | 17m |
The Whirlpool 10m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 22m | 8m | 14m |
| 11 AM | 27m | 8m | 19m |
| 12 PM | 26m | 7m | 19m |
20,000 Leagues Under the Sea 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 30m | 7m | 23m |
| 10 AM | 60m | 18m | 42m |
| 11 AM | 64m | 16m | 48m |
| 12 PM | 66m | 10m | 56m |
DisneySea Electric Railway (Port Discovery) 8m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 6m | 7m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 12m | 13m | ✓ |
Nemo & Friends SeaRider 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 16m | 15m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 40m | 15m | 25m |
| 11 AM | 47m | 15m | 32m |
| 12 PM | 55m | 15m | 40m |
Jumpin' Jellyfish 7m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 20m | 8m | 12m |
| 11 AM | 26m | 8m | 18m |
| 12 PM | 25m | 13m | 12m |
The Magic Lamp Theater 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 14m | 15m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 23m | 15m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 30m | 15m | 15m |
Jasmine's Flying Carpets 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 20m | 13m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 23m | 16m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 28m | 17m | 11m |
Scuttle's Scooters 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 19m | 14m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 21m | 10m | 11m |
| 12 PM | 24m | 8m | 16m |
Caravan Carousel 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
Sindbad's Storybook Voyage 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
DisneySea Transit Steamer Line (American Waterfront) 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
DisneySea Transit Steamer Line (Lost River Delta) 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
The Leonardo Challenge 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Based on 273,881 data points collected every 5 minutes.
Last updated: 12:55 PM JST.