Tokyo Disneyland Today
July 28, 2026 · Tuesday
Low Crowds Expected
Tokyo Disneyland expects low crowds on July 28, 2026, with an average predicted wait of 16 min minutes across 29 rides. The best time to arrive is 7 AM. Peak waits are predicted to reach 55 min minutes.
16 min
Avg Predicted Wait
55 min
Peak Predicted Wait
7 AM
Best Hour to Arrive
29
Rides Tracked
Today's Strategy
- Arrive by 7 AM for the shortest waits (avg 6 min).
- Consider Lightning Lane for The Happy Ride with Baymax — predicted 55+ min wait.
- Tuesdays tend to be lighter — good day for headliners.
⏱ Rope Drop Pick
Early Theme Park Entry
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast
16 min
vs 126 min peak
Save 110 min
The Happy Ride with Baymax
6 min
vs 81 min peak
Save 75 min
All Guests
Big Thunder Mountain
33 min
vs 64 min peak
Save 31 min
Splash Mountain
52 min
vs 76 min peak
Save 24 min
⏰ Peak Hours & Hotel Break
Peak Window
9 AM - 12 PM
Avg 56 min waits
Hotel Break
9 AM - 12 PM
Headliner waits average 56 min (9 AM-12 PM) vs 45 min park-wide. Skip the lines — hit the pool.
🍴 Dining Strategy
Eat lunch at 10 AM (headliners at 62 min), then ride at 12 PM (51 min) — save 69 min across top rides. Eat dinner at 4 PM (53 min), then ride at 7 PM (37 min) — save 66 min.
Lunch
Eat at
10 AM
62 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
12 PM
51 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast
126 min
→
81 min
(-45)
The Happy Ride with Baymax
81 min
→
59 min
(-22)
Splash Mountain
64 min
→
62 min
(-2)
Total saved: 69 min
Dinner
Eat at
4 PM
53 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
7 PM
37 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast
78 min
→
53 min
(-25)
Splash Mountain
68 min
→
44 min
(-24)
Big Thunder Mountain
59 min
→
42 min
(-17)
Total saved: 66 min
Tokyo Disneyland — Predicted Crowd Level by Hour
Ride-by-Ride Predictions
Prediction Accuracy (So Far)
90%
Accurate
Our predictions were 90% accurate so far today at Tokyo Disneyland, with an average error of 3 minutes across 29 rides tracked.
A prediction is "accurate" when within 10 minutes of the actual average wait.
Daily Average by Ride 29 rides
| Ride | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Happy Ride with Baymax | 55m | 77m | 22m off |
| Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast | 55m | 70m | 15m off |
| Splash Mountain | 54m | 66m | 12m off |
| Big Thunder Mountain | 41m | 41m | ✓ |
| Peter Pan's Flight | 28m | 32m | ✓ |
| Country Bear Theater | 21m | 15m | ✓ |
| Gadget's Go Coaster | 19m | 23m | ✓ |
| Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin | 19m | 23m | ✓ |
| Snow White's Adventures | 18m | 19m | ✓ |
| Western River Railroad | 16m | 16m | ✓ |
| Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions | 15m | 18m | ✓ |
| Stitch Encounter | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| The Enchanted Tiki Room: Stitch Presents “Aloha E Komo Mai!” | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| Mark Twain Riverboat | 10m | 6m | ✓ |
| Haunted Mansion | 10m | 15m | ✓ |
| Pirates of the Caribbean | 8m | 9m | ✓ |
| Pinocchio's Daring Journey | 8m | 12m | ✓ |
| Cinderella's Fairy Tale Hall | 8m | 9m | ✓ |
| Tom Sawyer Island Rafts | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| Castle Carrousel | 6m | 9m | ✓ |
| Donald's Boat | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| Star Tours: The Adventures Continue | 6m | 6m | ✓ |
| Minnie's House | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| Goofy's Paint 'n' Play House | 6m | 8m | ✓ |
| Chip 'n Dale's Treehouse | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| Omnibus | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| Mickey's PhilharMagic | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| Westernland Shootin' Gallery | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| Alice's Tea Party | 5m | 6m | ✓ |
Biggest miss: The Happy Ride with Baymax (predicted 55m, actual 77m).
Hourly Breakdown 10 hours
How accurate were predictions for each hour of the day, averaged across all rides.
| Hour | Accuracy | Avg Error | Rides |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 85% | 6m | 20 |
| 10 AM | 61% | 13m | 28 |
| 11 AM | 69% | 11m | 29 |
| 12 PM | 72% | 10m | 29 |
| 1 PM | 66% | 11m | 29 |
| 2 PM | 72% | 9m | 29 |
| 3 PM | 79% | 10m | 29 |
| 4 PM | 72% | 12m | 29 |
| 5 PM | 63% | 12m | 27 |
| 6 PM | 85% | 8m | 27 |
Per-Ride Hourly Detail expand each ride
The Happy Ride with Baymax 22m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 99m | 99m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 113m | 77m | 36m |
| 11 AM | 93m | 66m | 27m |
| 12 PM | 91m | 71m | 20m |
| 1 PM | 89m | 79m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 81m | 68m | 13m |
| 3 PM | 89m | 74m | 15m |
| 4 PM | 87m | 71m | 16m |
| 5 PM | 79m | 64m | 15m |
| 6 PM | 69m | 106m | 37m |
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast 15m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 143m | 99m | 44m |
| 10 AM | 168m | 88m | 80m |
| 11 AM | 119m | 78m | 41m |
| 12 PM | 111m | 65m | 46m |
| 1 PM | 116m | 69m | 47m |
| 2 PM | 113m | 81m | 32m |
| 3 PM | 117m | 63m | 54m |
| 4 PM | 121m | 58m | 63m |
| 5 PM | 110m | 48m | 62m |
| 6 PM | 102m | 50m | 52m |
Splash Mountain 12m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 66m | 60m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 103m | 59m | 44m |
| 11 AM | 84m | 60m | 24m |
| 12 PM | 85m | 64m | 21m |
| 1 PM | 88m | 75m | 13m |
| 2 PM | 94m | 83m | 11m |
| 3 PM | 102m | 78m | 24m |
| 4 PM | 99m | 64m | 35m |
| 5 PM | 88m | 58m | 30m |
| 6 PM | 71m | 57m | 14m |
Big Thunder Mountain 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 55m | 30m | 25m |
| 10 AM | 88m | 43m | 45m |
| 11 AM | 79m | 38m | 41m |
| 12 PM | 72m | 38m | 34m |
| 1 PM | 77m | 38m | 39m |
| 2 PM | 78m | 47m | 31m |
| 3 PM | 76m | 36m | 40m |
| 4 PM | 85m | 39m | 46m |
| 5 PM | 78m | 47m | 31m |
| 6 PM | 71m | 61m | ✓ |
Peter Pan's Flight 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 43m | 26m | 17m |
| 11 AM | 46m | 29m | 17m |
| 12 PM | 45m | 30m | 15m |
| 1 PM | 47m | 30m | 17m |
| 2 PM | 46m | 32m | 14m |
| 3 PM | 45m | 35m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 47m | 34m | 13m |
| 5 PM | 46m | 35m | 11m |
| 6 PM | 38m | 33m | ✓ |
Country Bear Theater 6m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 14m | 15m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
Gadget's Go Coaster 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 8m | 12m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 24m | 22m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 24m | 28m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 22m | 26m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 26m | 25m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 27m | 33m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 23m | 18m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 29m | 15m | 14m |
| 5 PM | 26m | 19m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 23m | 29m | ✓ |
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 8m | 6m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 31m | 19m | 12m |
| 11 AM | 29m | 25m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 28m | 25m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 33m | 22m | 11m |
| 2 PM | 34m | 29m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 31m | 28m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 35m | 28m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 30m | 21m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 25m | 29m | ✓ |
Snow White's Adventures 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 11m | 12m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 27m | 21m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 27m | 20m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 27m | 20m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 29m | 20m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 28m | 21m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 28m | 23m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 29m | 22m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 28m | 15m | 13m |
| 6 PM | 22m | 16m | ✓ |
Western River Railroad 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 10m | 11m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 23m | 12m | 11m |
| 11 AM | 24m | 16m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 20m | 11m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 14m | 23m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 14m | 18m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 24m | 16m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 27m | 16m | 11m |
| 6 PM | 22m | 22m | ✓ |
Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 9m | 9m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 26m | 21m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 24m | 24m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 19m | 18m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 23m | 18m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 24m | 20m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 21m | 18m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 23m | 14m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 22m | 20m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 16m | 22m | ✓ |
Stitch Encounter 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
The Enchanted Tiki Room: Stitch Presents “Aloha E Komo Mai!” 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 10m | 10m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
Mark Twain Riverboat 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 11m | 6m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
Haunted Mansion 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 20m | 12m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 40m | 20m | 20m |
| 11 AM | 43m | 19m | 24m |
| 12 PM | 48m | 18m | 30m |
| 1 PM | 57m | 17m | 40m |
| 2 PM | 51m | 17m | 34m |
| 3 PM | 46m | 13m | 33m |
| 4 PM | 45m | 12m | 33m |
| 5 PM | 27m | 8m | 19m |
| 6 PM | 21m | 16m | ✓ |
Pirates of the Caribbean 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 13m | 9m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 24m | 15m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 21m | 10m | 11m |
| 12 PM | 19m | 5m | 14m |
| 1 PM | 20m | 8m | 12m |
| 2 PM | 19m | 8m | 11m |
| 3 PM | 18m | 13m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 19m | 11m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 17m | 8m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 14m | 8m | ✓ |
Pinocchio's Daring Journey 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 6m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 19m | 14m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 19m | 14m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 18m | 12m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 21m | 10m | 11m |
| 2 PM | 18m | 15m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 16m | 15m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 19m | 13m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 18m | 8m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 14m | 15m | ✓ |
Cinderella's Fairy Tale Hall 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 10m | 8m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 14m | 8m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 14m | 9m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 16m | 7m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 14m | 6m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 14m | 16m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 16m | 16m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 14m | 6m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
Tom Sawyer Island Rafts 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Castle Carrousel 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 20m | 6m | 14m |
| 11 AM | 20m | 8m | 12m |
| 12 PM | 18m | 8m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 19m | 13m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 17m | 10m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 15m | 14m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 17m | 10m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 14m | 8m | ✓ |
Donald's Boat 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Star Tours: The Adventures Continue 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 17m | 5m | 12m |
| 11 AM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 18m | 5m | 13m |
| 2 PM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 18m | 9m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 17m | 5m | 12m |
| 6 PM | 12m | 7m | ✓ |
Minnie's House 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 18m | 5m | 13m |
| 10 AM | 35m | 5m | 30m |
| 11 AM | 30m | 5m | 25m |
| 12 PM | 32m | 5m | 27m |
| 1 PM | 37m | 5m | 32m |
| 2 PM | 41m | 5m | 36m |
| 3 PM | 40m | 5m | 35m |
| 4 PM | 37m | 5m | 32m |
| 5 PM | 32m | 5m | 27m |
| 6 PM | 29m | 5m | 24m |
Goofy's Paint 'n' Play House 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 10m | 10m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 13m | 10m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 11m | 9m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 12m | 8m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 11m | 9m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 11m | 6m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 9m | 10m | ✓ |
Chip 'n Dale's Treehouse 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Omnibus 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
Mickey's PhilharMagic 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 7m | 7m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 6m | 6m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Westernland Shootin' Gallery 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 11m | 7m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
Alice's Tea Party 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 AM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 13m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 13m | 6m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 13m | 7m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 10m | 6m | ✓ |
Based on 862,597 data points collected every 5 minutes.
Last updated: 06:42 PM JST.