Big Thunder Mountain Railroad Reliability & Wait Patterns

Magic Kingdom · Frontierland · Based on 24817 wait-time samples

Data updated November 9, 2026 · refreshed weekly from the last 180 days

0.34
Volatility Index (typical within-day swing)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful swings through the day.
30m
Typical (p50) wait
50m
Busy (p90) wait
65m
Worst-case (p99)
110m
Highest (last 180 days)

Weekend vs Weekday

27m
Weekday average
28m
Weekend average
1.05×
Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Big Thunder Mountain Railroad flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

103
Recorded breakdowns
62m
Typical (median) outage
666h 27m
Longest outage (2026-08-14)
8.0
Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

DateDown for
2026-11-121h 12m
2026-11-081h 2m
2026-11-0854m
2026-11-072h 2m
2026-11-065m
2026-11-041h 3m
2026-11-0452m
2026-11-0218m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 67 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Share of running time the ride was down for an unplanned breakdown, by hour of the day (park-local time). Scheduled closures and refurbishments are not counted.

0
0%
8
19%
9
15%
10
12%
11
7%
12
8%
13
12%
14
14%
15
14%
16
15%
17
11%
18
14%
19
10%
20
7%
21
7%
22
5%
23
5%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW8910111213141516171819202122
Mon 14 27 30 34 36 34 35 39 38 44 34 27 17 19 –
Tue 15 24 27 27 28 27 26 25 28 28 18 13 15 12 7
Wed 18 25 32 38 37 38 38 38 37 40 40 28 18 21 21
Thu 12 21 30 28 28 32 29 28 31 34 32 24 20 14 10
Fri 19 27 32 36 35 32 31 28 31 32 23 18 20 16 10
Sat 15 25 32 37 38 36 38 40 41 42 39 33 27 24 15
Sun 17 25 29 32 35 34 34 31 32 31 24 19 18 13 10

Weather effect on waits

How the wait changed in each kind of weather, compared with this ride at the same hour on the same weekday within three weeks. Only differences marked “clear signal” are larger than day-to-day noise.

-0m
Cloudy · 758 ride-hours · within noise
-2m
Light Rain · 67 ride-hours · within noise
-5m
Heavy Rain · 85 ride-hours · clear signal
+0m
Clear · 416 ride-hours · within noise

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