Magic Kingdom Today
July 19, 2026 · Sunday
Moderate Crowds Expected
Magic Kingdom expects moderate crowds on July 19, 2026, with an average predicted wait of 22 min minutes across 30 rides. The best time to arrive is 8 AM (Early Entry (resort guests)). Peak waits are predicted to reach 69 min minutes.
22 min
Avg Predicted Wait
69 min
Peak Predicted Wait
8 AM
Best Hour to Arrive (Early Entry (resort guests))
General admission: 9 AM (avg 23 min)
30
Rides Tracked
Today's Strategy
- Resort guests: arrive for Early Entry at 8 AM (avg 19 min). Everyone else: aim for 9 AM (23 min).
- Waits drop around 4-5 PM as families head to dinner — great second window.
- Consider Lightning Lane for TRON Lightcycle / Run — predicted 69+ min wait.
⏱ Rope Drop Pick
Early Theme Park Entry
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
Frontierland
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
15 min
vs 45 min peak
Save 23 min
Buzz Lightyear's Space Ranger Spin
Tomorrowland
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
15 min
vs 39 min peak
Save 21 min
All Guests
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
Frontierland
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
15 min
vs 45 min peak
Save 23 min
⏰ Peak Hours & Hotel Break
Peak Window
12 PM - 3 PM
Avg 42 min waits
Hotel Break
12 PM - 3 PM
Headliner waits average 42 min (12 PM-3 PM) vs 38 min park-wide. Skip the lines — hit the pool.
🎆 Event Windows
Disney Starlight: Dream the Night Away · 9 PM
Rides with lower waits during this event:
Jungle Cruise
26 → 13 min (-13)
Seven Dwarfs Mine Train
53 → 42 min (-11)
Pirates of the Caribbean
19 → 9 min (-10)
Happily Ever After · 10 PM
Rides with lower waits during this event:
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
28 → 15 min (-13)
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh
23 → 13 min (-10)
Space Mountain
30 → 20 min (-10)
🍴 Dining Strategy
Eat lunch at 1 PM (headliners at 43 min), then ride at 10 AM (37 min) — save 36 min across top rides. Eat dinner at 4 PM (42 min), then ride at 4 PM (42 min) — save 0 min.
Lunch
Eat at
1 PM
43 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
10 AM
37 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
45 min
→
27 min
(-18)
Space Mountain
40 min
→
31 min
(-9)
Buzz Lightyear's Space Ranger Spin
39 min
→
30 min
(-9)
Total saved: 36 min
Dinner
Eat at
4 PM
42 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
4 PM
42 min headliner avg
📈 Wait Time Escalation
How fast waits climb from park open. Headliners only.
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
MULTIPASS
+29 min in 3h
Park Open
15
min
+1h
27
min
+2h
36
min
+3h
44
min
Magic Kingdom — Predicted Crowd Level by Hour
Ride-by-Ride Predictions
Prediction Accuracy (So Far)
83%
Accurate
Our predictions were 83% accurate so far today at Magic Kingdom, with an average error of 5 minutes across 29 rides tracked.
A prediction is "accurate" when within 10 minutes of the actual average wait.
Daily Average by Ride 29 rides
| Ride | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| TRON Lightcycle / Run | 69m | 88m | 19m off |
| Seven Dwarfs Mine Train | 59m | 46m | 13m off |
| Tiana's Bayou Adventure | 47m | 42m | ✓ |
| Peter Pan's Flight | 45m | 34m | 11m off |
| Space Mountain | 39m | 30m | ✓ |
| Jungle Cruise | 35m | 19m | 16m off |
| Buzz Lightyear's Space Ranger Spin | 34m | 29m | ✓ |
| The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh | 33m | 17m | 16m off |
| Big Thunder Mountain Railroad | 33m | 30m | ✓ |
| Haunted Mansion | 22m | 18m | ✓ |
| Walt Disney World Railroad - Main Street, U.S.A. | 21m | 20m | ✓ |
| Walt Disney World Railroad - Fantasyland | 21m | 20m | ✓ |
| The Hall of Presidents | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| Tomorrowland Speedway | 16m | 11m | ✓ |
| Mickey's PhilharMagic | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| The Barnstormer | 15m | 13m | ✓ |
| Pirates of the Caribbean | 14m | 11m | ✓ |
| Astro Orbiter | 14m | 16m | ✓ |
| Walt Disney's Enchanted Tiki Room | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| Dumbo the Flying Elephant | 12m | 12m | ✓ |
| Country Bear Musical Jamboree | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| Under the Sea - Journey of The Little Mermaid | 11m | 8m | ✓ |
| Monsters Inc. Laugh Floor | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| "it's a small world" | 11m | 8m | ✓ |
| Prince Charming Regal Carrousel | 9m | 13m | ✓ |
| The Magic Carpets of Aladdin | 9m | 8m | ✓ |
| Tomorrowland Transit Authority PeopleMover | 9m | 8m | ✓ |
| Mad Tea Party | 8m | 6m | ✓ |
| Swiss Family Treehouse | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Biggest miss: TRON Lightcycle / Run (predicted 69m, actual 88m).
Hourly Breakdown 4 hours
How accurate were predictions for each hour of the day, averaged across all rides.
| Hour | Accuracy | Avg Error | Rides |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 83% | 6m | 29 |
| 8 PM | 81% | 7m | 27 |
| 9 PM | 85% | 5m | 26 |
| 10 PM | 88% | 5m | 25 |
Per-Ride Hourly Detail expand each ride
TRON Lightcycle / Run 19m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 81m | 85m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 90m | 85m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 85m | 92m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 81m | 110m | 29m |
Seven Dwarfs Mine Train 13m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 63m | 52m | 11m |
| 8 PM | 58m | 49m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 47m | 37m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 37m | 40m | ✓ |
Tiana's Bayou Adventure 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 38m | 54m | 16m |
| 8 PM | 27m | 51m | 24m |
| 9 PM | 14m | 21m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 8m | 10m | ✓ |
Peter Pan's Flight 11m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 46m | 49m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 40m | 32m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 31m | 19m | 12m |
| 10 PM | 29m | 25m | ✓ |
Space Mountain 9m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 43m | 38m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 37m | 31m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 27m | 20m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 24m | 20m | ✓ |
Jungle Cruise 16m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 44m | 36m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 25m | 11m | 14m |
| 9 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
Buzz Lightyear's Space Ranger Spin 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 66m | 37m | 29m |
| 8 PM | 52m | 29m | 23m |
| 9 PM | 35m | 19m | 16m |
| 10 PM | 28m | 30m | ✓ |
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh 16m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 43m | 25m | 18m |
| 8 PM | 32m | 18m | 14m |
| 9 PM | 21m | 6m | 15m |
| 10 PM | 17m | 5m | 12m |
Big Thunder Mountain Railroad 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 0m | 40m | 40m |
| 8 PM | 0m | 31m | 31m |
| 9 PM | 0m | 21m | 21m |
| 10 PM | 46m | 15m | 31m |
Haunted Mansion 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 25m | 25m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 20m | 17m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 16m | 14m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 15m | 13m | ✓ |
Walt Disney World Railroad - Main Street, U.S.A. 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 21m | 20m | ✓ |
Walt Disney World Railroad - Fantasyland 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 23m | 20m | ✓ |
The Hall of Presidents 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
Tomorrowland Speedway 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 13m | 9m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 9m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 9m | 10m | ✓ |
Mickey's PhilharMagic 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 14m | 15m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 13m | 15m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 13m | 15m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 13m | 15m | ✓ |
The Barnstormer 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 19m | 22m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Pirates of the Caribbean 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 14m | 24m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
Astro Orbiter 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 23m | 24m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 20m | 15m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 14m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
Walt Disney's Enchanted Tiki Room 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
Dumbo the Flying Elephant 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 14m | 19m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 11m | 13m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Country Bear Musical Jamboree 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 12m | 10m | ✓ |
Under the Sea - Journey of The Little Mermaid 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 18m | 14m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 13m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Monsters Inc. Laugh Floor 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 11m | 10m | ✓ |
"it's a small world" 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 9m | 13m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Prince Charming Regal Carrousel 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 6m | 11m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 7m | 15m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 15m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 15m | ✓ |
The Magic Carpets of Aladdin 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 15m | 14m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Tomorrowland Transit Authority PeopleMover 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 13m | 13m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 10m | 7m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Mad Tea Party 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 9m | 9m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Swiss Family Treehouse 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 8 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 9 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 10 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Based on 1,319,824 data points collected every 5 minutes.
Weekend/Monday crowds tend to be heavier.
Last updated: 07:00 AM ET.