Tokyo Disneyland Ride Breakdowns: Which Lines Get Longer

Data updated · recomputed weekly

Quick answer. When Big Thunder Mountain is down, Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin runs about 5 minutes longer (+27%) than the same hour on a normal day (15 closures on 12 days). 7 ride pairs at Tokyo Disneyland met our consistency bar; everything else stays close to normal when a ride breaks down.

Lines that get longer

When Big Thunder Mountain is down, Splash Mountain waits run +14 min (+29%) vs the same hour on a normal day 14 closures on 12 days · rose in 93% of them · typically 64 min instead of 49
When Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast is down, The Happy Ride with Baymax waits run +10 min (+13%) vs the same hour on a normal day 22 closures on 20 days · rose in 73% of them · typically 85 min instead of 75
When Big Thunder Mountain is down, Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin waits run +5 min (+27%) vs the same hour on a normal day 15 closures on 12 days · rose in 93% of them · typically 22 min instead of 17
When Pirates of the Caribbean is down, Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions waits run +4 min (+20%) vs the same hour on a normal day 14 closures on 13 days · rose in 79% of them · typically 26 min instead of 22
When Splash Mountain is down, Peter Pan's Flight waits run +4 min (+16%) vs the same hour on a normal day 26 closures on 25 days · rose in 69% of them · typically 25 min instead of 22
When Big Thunder Mountain is down, Peter Pan's Flight waits run +4 min (+14%) vs the same hour on a normal day 14 closures on 12 days · rose in 86% of them · typically 30 min instead of 26
When Splash Mountain is down, Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin waits run +3 min (+28%) vs the same hour on a normal day 31 closures on 29 days · rose in 77% of them · typically 14 min instead of 11

Most disruptive closures

  • Big Thunder Mountain: raises 3 other lines, most of all Splash Mountain (+14 min).
  • Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast: raises 1 other line, most of all The Happy Ride with Baymax (+10 min).
  • Splash Mountain: raises 2 other lines, most of all Peter Pan's Flight (+4 min).

How we measure it

  • Closures of 15–240 minutes from the last 180 days (1216 at Tokyo Disneyland).
  • Storm or park-wide closures are dropped: 2+ other rides closing within 15 minutes, or 5+ already closed (543 removed).
  • Each ride's posted wait during the closure is compared with the same clock hours on the same weekday over the previous 8 weeks, corrected for how busy that ride was on the day.
  • A pair is listed only with 8+ closures on 5+ days, an average rise of 3+ minutes, a rise in 65%+ of closures, and an average at least 3× its standard error.

Updated weekly; figures computed November 9, 2026. Waits are Disney's posted standby times.

Frequently asked questions

Which Tokyo Disneyland lines get longer when a ride breaks down?

In our data, the clearest case is Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin while Big Thunder Mountain is down: its posted wait runs about 5 minutes above the same hour on a normal day (15 closures on 12 days). 7 ride pairs at Tokyo Disneyland met our consistency bar.

How do you rule out storms?

We drop any closure where 2 or more other rides also closed within 15 minutes, or 5 or more were already closed — 543 of 1216 closures here. Those are lightning holds or park-wide events, not one ride breaking.

Plan around breakdowns automatically
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