Tom Sawyer Island Rafts Reliability & Wait Patterns
Tokyo Disneyland · Based on 12864 wait-time samples
0.22
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Stable — waits stay close to the average throughout the day.
5m
Typical (p50) wait
5m
Busy (p90) wait
10m
Worst-case (p99)
20m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
5m
Weekday average
5m
Weekend average
1.02×
Weekend multiplier
Real breakdown history (last 90 days)
Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Tom Sawyer Island Rafts flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.
4
Recorded breakdowns
64m
Typical (median) outage
2h 21m
Longest outage (2026-08-13)
0.3
Breakdowns per week
Most recent outages
| Date | Down for |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 50m |
| 2026-08-13 | 2h 21m |
| 2026-08-13 | 23m |
| 2026-07-26 | 1h 17m |
Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 3 different days in this window.
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
2%
2%
1
0%
0%
2
2%
2%
3
29%
29%
4
100%
100%
5
100%
100%
6
100%
100%
7
100%
100%
8
100%
100%
9
100%
100%
10
100%
100%
11
100%
100%
12
100%
100%
13
100%
100%
14
100%
100%
15
100%
100%
16
89%
89%
17
10%
10%
18
0%
0%
19
0%
0%
20
0%
0%
21
0%
0%
22
0%
0%
23
3%
3%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Tue | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Wed | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Thu | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Fri | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sat | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sun | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
5m
Clear
5m
Cloudy
5m
Drizzle
5m
Partly Cloudy
5m
Rain
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