Splash Mountain Reliability & Wait Patterns
Tokyo Disneyland · Based on 16452 wait-time samples
0.70
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful hourly swings.
80m
Typical (p50) wait
140m
Busy (p90) wait
180m
Worst-case (p99)
220m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
72m
Weekday average
70m
Weekend average
0.98×
Weekend multiplier
Real breakdown history (last 90 days)
Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Splash Mountain flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.
20
Recorded breakdowns
37m
Typical (median) outage
11h 30m
Longest outage (2026-06-27)
1.6
Breakdowns per week
Most recent outages
| Date | Down for |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 34m |
| 2026-08-22 | 37m |
| 2026-08-18 | 7m |
| 2026-08-11 | 1h 10m |
| 2026-08-07 | 25m |
| 2026-08-07 | 15m |
| 2026-08-07 | 1h 18m |
| 2026-07-31 | 1h 2m |
Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 16 different days in this window.
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
0%
0%
1
0%
0%
2
1%
1%
3
1%
1%
4
1%
1%
5
11%
11%
6
49%
49%
7
68%
68%
8
100%
100%
9
100%
100%
10
100%
100%
11
100%
100%
12
100%
100%
13
100%
100%
14
100%
100%
15
100%
100%
16
89%
89%
17
10%
10%
18
0%
0%
19
2%
2%
20
2%
2%
21
0%
0%
22
0%
0%
23
0%
0%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 97 | 81 |
| Tue | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 76 | 99 | 92 |
| Wed | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 63 | 80 | 78 |
| Thu | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 86 | 114 | 98 |
| Fri | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 91 | 129 | 105 |
| Sat | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 90 | 106 | 95 |
| Sun | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 79 | 117 | 99 |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
70m
Clear
68m
Cloudy
66m
Drizzle
93m
Partly Cloudy
46m
Rain
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