Soaring: Fantastic Flight Reliability & Wait Patterns

Tokyo DisneySea · Based on 23101 wait-time samples

Data updated October 12, 2026 · refreshed weekly from the last 180 days

0.22
Volatility Index (typical within-day swing)
Stable — waits stay close to the day's average.
120m
Typical (p50) wait
160m
Busy (p90) wait
200m
Worst-case (p99)
260m
Highest (last 180 days)

Weekend vs Weekday

122m
Weekday average
130m
Weekend average
1.07×
Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Soaring: Fantastic Flight flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

15
Recorded breakdowns
24m
Typical (median) outage
38m
Longest outage (2026-07-31)
1.2
Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

DateDown for
2026-10-1417m
2026-10-0917m
2026-09-2534m
2026-09-1626m
2026-08-2234m
2026-08-2136m
2026-08-1927m
2026-08-1912m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 13 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Share of running time the ride was down for an unplanned breakdown, by hour of the day (park-local time). Scheduled closures and refurbishments are not counted.

6
0%
7
0%
8
0%
9
0%
10
0%
11
0%
12
0%
13
0%
14
0%
15
0%
16
0%
17
0%
18
0%
19
0%
20
0%
21
3%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW8910111213141516171819202122
Mon – 150 153 136 131 124 126 129 134 134 120 89 52 – –
Tue – 139 153 129 120 124 122 130 133 133 123 86 60 – –
Wed – 128 143 126 115 114 114 129 135 132 119 87 54 – –
Thu – 134 148 130 130 125 125 134 138 143 128 88 56 – –
Fri – 120 135 120 110 106 111 116 115 111 127 80 44 27 –
Sat – 150 149 132 121 124 131 137 140 138 130 95 – – –
Sun – 147 152 130 120 123 128 135 134 139 122 92 57 – –

Weather effect on waits

How the wait changed in each kind of weather, compared with this ride at the same hour on the same weekday within three weeks. Only differences marked “clear signal” are larger than day-to-day noise.

-0m
Cloudy · 458 ride-hours · within noise
+0m
Clear · 131 ride-hours · within noise
-12m
Light Rain · 43 ride-hours · clear signal
-6m
Heavy Rain · 62 ride-hours · within noise

What causes this ride to spike

Waits for Soaring: Fantastic Flight rise when these rides are DOWN, compared with the same hour on a normal day:

Big City Vehicles
+6m (5%)

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