How often does Rapunzel's Lantern Festival break down?

Over the last 90 days we recorded 31 real breakdown episodes for Rapunzel's Lantern Festival — about 2.4 per week, spread across 23 different days. These are observed status changes from live park data, not estimates.

How long is Rapunzel's Lantern Festival usually down when it breaks down?

The median recorded outage for Rapunzel's Lantern Festival lasted 45 minutes (average 66 minutes). The longest outage we observed in the last 90 days lasted 282 minutes, on 2026-09-21.

Rapunzel's Lantern Festival Reliability & Wait Patterns

Tokyo DisneySea · Based on 21037 wait-time samples

Data updated October 12, 2026 · refreshed weekly from the last 180 days

0.47

Volatility Index (typical within-day swing)

Highly volatile — wait times swing a lot over the course of a day.

50m

Typical (p50) wait

100m

Busy (p90) wait

140m

Worst-case (p99)

200m

Highest (last 180 days)

Weekend vs Weekday

42m

Weekday average

39m

Weekend average

0.92×

Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Rapunzel's Lantern Festival flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

Recorded breakdowns

45m

Typical (median) outage

4h 42m

Longest outage (2026-09-21)

2.4

Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

Date	Down for
2026-10-13	43m
2026-10-08	1h 5m
2026-09-28	45m
2026-09-25	5m
2026-09-25	18m
2026-09-21	4h 42m
2026-09-13	20m
2026-09-09	1h 20m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 23 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Share of running time the ride was down for an unplanned breakdown, by hour of the day (park-local time). Scheduled closures and refurbishments are not counted.

6
0%

7
0%

8
0%

9
2%

10
2%

11
1%

12
0%

13
1%

14
2%

15
1%

16
2%

17
2%

18
3%

19
3%

20
2%

21
1%

22
8%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	–	41	73	66	56	55	53	56	51	45	38	28	12	–	–
Tue	–	32	67	58	49	46	48	47	44	41	38	26	11	–	–
Wed	–	34	63	53	44	42	42	42	37	35	31	23	12	–	–
Thu	–	39	70	58	52	49	50	52	48	40	36	25	14	–	–
Fri	–	32	59	51	43	43	44	43	37	31	32	22	17	11	–
Sat	–	38	64	57	47	46	46	45	39	37	33	24	15	–	–
Sun	–	34	59	48	40	42	41	41	39	36	31	21	11	–	–

Weather effect on waits

How the wait changed in each kind of weather, compared with this ride at the same hour on the same weekday within three weeks. Only differences marked “clear signal” are larger than day-to-day noise.

-0m

Cloudy · 484 ride-hours · within noise

+0m

Clear · 128 ride-hours · within noise

-3m

Light Rain · 46 ride-hours · clear signal

-2m

Heavy Rain · 64 ride-hours · within noise

When this ride goes down

These rides get busier when Rapunzel's Lantern Festival is reported DOWN, compared with the same hour on a normal day:

Fairy Tinker Bell's Busy Buggies

+4m (11%)

What causes this ride to spike

Waits for Rapunzel's Lantern Festival rise when these rides are DOWN, compared with the same hour on a normal day:

Peter Pan's Never Land Adventure

+8m (17%)

Anna and Elsa's Frozen Journey

+6m (12%)

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DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	–	41	73	66	56	55	53	56	51	45	38	28	12	–	–
Tue	–	32	67	58	49	46	48	47	44	41	38	26	11	–	–
Wed	–	34	63	53	44	42	42	42	37	35	31	23	12	–	–
Thu	–	39	70	58	52	49	50	52	48	40	36	25	14	–	–
Fri	–	32	59	51	43	43	44	43	37	31	32	22	17	11	–
Sat	–	38	64	57	47	46	46	45	39	37	33	24	15	–	–
Sun	–	34	59	48	40	42	41	41	39	36	31	21	11	–	–

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	–	41	73	66	56	55	53	56	51	45	38	28	12	–	–
Tue	–	32	67	58	49	46	48	47	44	41	38	26	11	–	–
Wed	–	34	63	53	44	42	42	42	37	35	31	23	12	–	–
Thu	–	39	70	58	52	49	50	52	48	40	36	25	14	–	–
Fri	–	32	59	51	43	43	44	43	37	31	32	22	17	11	–
Sat	–	38	64	57	47	46	46	45	39	37	33	24	15	–	–
Sun	–	34	59	48	40	42	41	41	39	36	31	21	11	–	–

DOW	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22
Mon	–	41	73	66	56	55	53	56	51	45	38	28	12	–	–
Tue	–	32	67	58	49	46	48	47	44	41	38	26	11	–	–
Wed	–	34	63	53	44	42	42	42	37	35	31	23	12	–	–
Thu	–	39	70	58	52	49	50	52	48	40	36	25	14	–	–
Fri	–	32	59	51	43	43	44	43	37	31	32	22	17	11	–
Sat	–	38	64	57	47	46	46	45	39	37	33	24	15	–	–
Sun	–	34	59	48	40	42	41	41	39	36	31	21	11	–	–