Caravan Carousel Reliability & Wait Patterns
Tokyo DisneySea · Based on 17979 wait-time samples
0.71
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful hourly swings.
5m
Typical (p50) wait
15m
Busy (p90) wait
30m
Worst-case (p99)
40m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
8m
Weekday average
7m
Weekend average
0.96×
Weekend multiplier
Real breakdown history (last 90 days)
Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Caravan Carousel flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.
7
Recorded breakdowns
32m
Typical (median) outage
1h 50m
Longest outage (2026-07-10)
0.5
Breakdowns per week
Most recent outages
| Date | Down for |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 1h 43m |
| 2026-09-01 | 53m |
| 2026-08-13 | 7m |
| 2026-07-31 | 8m |
| 2026-07-17 | 6m |
| 2026-07-11 | 32m |
| 2026-07-10 | 1h 50m |
Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 6 different days in this window.
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
0%
0%
1
0%
0%
2
0%
0%
3
0%
0%
4
0%
0%
5
1%
1%
6
0%
0%
7
11%
11%
8
91%
91%
9
97%
97%
10
100%
100%
11
100%
100%
12
100%
100%
13
100%
100%
14
100%
100%
15
100%
100%
16
89%
89%
17
10%
10%
18
0%
0%
19
0%
0%
20
2%
2%
21
4%
4%
22
1%
1%
23
0%
0%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Tue | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Wed | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Thu | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| Fri | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Sat | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Sun | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
7m
Clear
8m
Cloudy
8m
Drizzle
9m
Partly Cloudy
5m
Rain
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