Big Thunder Mountain Reliability & Wait Patterns

Tokyo Disneyland · Based on 19973 wait-time samples

Data updated October 12, 2026 · refreshed weekly from the last 180 days

0.33
Volatility Index (typical within-day swing)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful swings through the day.
40m
Typical (p50) wait
70m
Busy (p90) wait
100m
Worst-case (p99)
500m
Highest (last 180 days)

Weekend vs Weekday

41m
Weekday average
46m
Weekend average
1.12×
Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Big Thunder Mountain flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

20
Recorded breakdowns
47m
Typical (median) outage
4h 10m
Longest outage (2026-08-12)
1.6
Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

DateDown for
2026-10-056m
2026-10-031h 43m
2026-09-232h 42m
2026-09-211h 52m
2026-09-172h 26m
2026-09-161h 28m
2026-09-1219m
2026-09-101h 45m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 18 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Share of running time the ride was down for an unplanned breakdown, by hour of the day (park-local time). Scheduled closures and refurbishments are not counted.

6
0%
7
0%
8
0%
9
2%
10
2%
11
2%
12
2%
13
3%
14
1%
15
1%
16
0%
17
1%
18
1%
19
1%
20
1%
21
3%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW8910111213141516171819202122
Mon – 42 45 46 41 41 44 43 44 46 48 43 34 – –
Tue – 39 44 43 38 39 39 38 40 42 44 35 24 – –
Wed – 36 42 38 35 34 38 38 37 44 47 36 29 – –
Thu – 36 47 47 45 48 50 46 44 48 44 41 32 – –
Fri – 37 40 40 36 37 39 38 39 40 49 45 34 16 –
Sat – 48 51 48 43 44 50 48 50 51 51 44 39 – –
Sun – 44 46 43 43 43 44 46 47 48 48 43 30 – –

Weather effect on waits

How the wait changed in each kind of weather, compared with this ride at the same hour on the same weekday within three weeks. Only differences marked “clear signal” are larger than day-to-day noise.

-0m
Cloudy · 477 ride-hours · within noise
+0m
Clear · 133 ride-hours · within noise
-3m
Light Rain · 45 ride-hours · within noise
-4m
Heavy Rain · 61 ride-hours · clear signal

When this ride goes down

These rides get busier when Big Thunder Mountain is reported DOWN, compared with the same hour on a normal day:

Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin
+5m (24%)
Peter Pan's Flight
+4m (15%)

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