Aquatopia Reliability & Wait Patterns
Tokyo DisneySea · Based on 14984 wait-time samples
0.75
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful hourly swings.
20m
Typical (p50) wait
40m
Busy (p90) wait
60m
Worst-case (p99)
60m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
20m
Weekday average
21m
Weekend average
1.06×
Weekend multiplier
Real breakdown history (last 90 days)
Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Aquatopia flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.
108
Recorded breakdowns
42m
Typical (median) outage
2h 53m
Longest outage (2026-08-21)
8.4
Breakdowns per week
Most recent outages
| Date | Down for |
|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 2h 12m |
| 2026-09-01 | 15m |
| 2026-08-31 | 37m |
| 2026-08-31 | 49m |
| 2026-08-30 | 1h 9m |
| 2026-08-29 | 23m |
| 2026-08-29 | 1h 2m |
| 2026-08-27 | 6m |
Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 68 different days in this window.
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
15%
15%
1
13%
13%
2
14%
14%
3
12%
12%
4
14%
14%
5
15%
15%
6
20%
20%
7
26%
26%
8
97%
97%
9
100%
100%
10
100%
100%
11
100%
100%
12
100%
100%
13
100%
100%
14
100%
100%
15
100%
100%
16
89%
89%
17
24%
24%
18
16%
16%
19
17%
17%
20
27%
27%
21
22%
22%
22
17%
17%
23
18%
18%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 |
| Tue | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 37 |
| Wed | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 25 |
| Thu | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 37 |
| Fri | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 31 |
| Sat | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 31 |
| Sun | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 38 |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
20m
Clear
21m
Cloudy
15m
Drizzle
28m
Partly Cloudy
6m
Rain
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