Walt Disney's Carousel of Progress Reliability & Wait Patterns
Magic Kingdom · Tomorrowland · Based on 19473 wait-time samples
0.07
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Stable — waits stay close to the average throughout the day.
5m
Typical (p50) wait
5m
Busy (p90) wait
5m
Worst-case (p99)
10m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
5m
Weekday average
5m
Weekend average
0.99×
Weekend multiplier
Real breakdown history (last 90 days)
Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Walt Disney's Carousel of Progress flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.
14
Recorded breakdowns
30m
Typical (median) outage
2h 15m
Longest outage (2026-07-01)
1.1
Breakdowns per week
Most recent outages
| Date | Down for |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | 24m |
| 2026-07-01 | 2h 15m |
| 2026-07-01 | 22m |
| 2026-06-30 | 35m |
| 2026-06-29 | 1h 6m |
| 2026-06-29 | 58m |
| 2026-06-27 | 45m |
| 2026-06-24 | 15m |
Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 11 different days in this window.
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
100%
100%
1
100%
100%
2
100%
100%
3
100%
100%
4
100%
100%
5
100%
100%
6
100%
100%
7
87%
87%
8
41%
41%
9
2%
2%
10
1%
1%
11
4%
4%
12
4%
4%
13
2%
2%
14
2%
2%
15
3%
3%
16
2%
2%
17
3%
3%
18
3%
3%
19
6%
6%
20
3%
3%
21
10%
10%
22
22%
22%
23
98%
98%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Tue | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Wed | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Thu | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Fri | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sat | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sun | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
5m
Clear
5m
Cloudy
5m
Drizzle
5m
Partly Cloudy
6m
Rain
When this ride goes down
These rides spike in wait time when Walt Disney's Carousel of Progress is reported DOWN:
Jungle Cruise
+-6m (-14%)
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