Attractions Dining Shows Food Search | Crowds Wait Times Best Time Today Rope Drop LL Strategy Reliability
Disneyland Park Disney California Adventure

Disneyland Park Today

October 16, 2026 · Friday
Moderate Crowds Expected

Disneyland Park expects moderate crowds on October 16, 2026, with an average predicted wait of 22 min minutes across 34 rides. The best time to arrive is 8 AM. Peak waits are predicted to reach 56 min minutes.

22 min
Avg Predicted Wait
56 min
Peak Predicted Wait
8 AM
Best Hour to Arrive
34
Rides Tracked

Today's Strategy

  • Arrive by 8 AM for the shortest waits (avg 9 min).
  • Waits drop around 4-5 PM as families head to dinner — great second window.
  • Consider Lightning Lane for Haunted Mansion — predicted 56+ min wait.

⏱ Rope Drop Pick

Early Theme Park Entry
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
5 min
vs 48 min peak
Save 43 min
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
5 min
vs 39 min peak
Save 34 min
All Guests
Tiana's Bayou Adventure
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
5 min
vs 48 min peak
Save 43 min
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin
Also available via Multi Pass — may not need to rope drop
5 min
vs 39 min peak
Save 34 min

⏰ Peak Hours & Hotel Break

Peak Window
5 PM - 8 PM
Avg 34 min waits
Hotel Break
5 PM - 8 PM
Headliner waits average 34 min (5 PM-8 PM) vs 30 min park-wide. Skip the lines — hit the pool.

📈 Wait Time Escalation

How fast waits climb from park open. Headliners only.
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin MULTIPASS
+27 min in 3h
Park Open
5
min
+1h
11
min
+2h
26
min
+3h
32
min
Tiana's Bayou Adventure MULTIPASS
+26 min in 3h
Park Open
5
min
+1h
8
min
+2h
24
min
+3h
31
min
Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway MULTIPASS
+22 min in 3h
Park Open
5
min
+1h
8
min
+2h
17
min
+3h
27
min
Haunted Mansion MULTIPASS
+21 min in 3h
Park Open
15
min
+1h
23
min
+2h
34
min
+3h
36
min
Matterhorn Bobsleds MULTIPASS
+20 min in 3h
Park Open
10
min
+1h
15
min
+2h
26
min
+3h
30
min

Disneyland Park — Predicted Crowd Level by Hour

Ride-by-Ride Predictions

1
Haunted Mansion · 8 min ride
56
min predicted
2
Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance · 18 min ride
54
min predicted
3
Space Mountain · 3 min ride
49
min predicted
4
Matterhorn Bobsleds · 3 min ride
36
min predicted
5
Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway · 5 min ride
34
min predicted
6
Big Thunder Mountain Railroad · 4 min ride
33
min predicted
7
Peter Pan's Flight · 3 min ride
33
min predicted
8
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin · 4 min ride
31
min predicted
9
Tiana's Bayou Adventure · 12 min ride
31
min predicted
10
Alice in Wonderland · 4 min ride
24
min predicted
11
Chip 'n' Dale's GADGETcoaster · 10 min ride
23
min predicted
12
Pirates of the Caribbean · 15 min ride
23
min predicted
13
Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run · 5 min ride
23
min predicted
14
Star Tours - The Adventures Continue · 5 min ride
23
min predicted
15
Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters · 4 min ride
22
min predicted
16
Dumbo the Flying Elephant · 2 min ride
22
min predicted
17
Autopia · 10 min ride
21
min predicted
18
Astro Orbitor · 10 min ride
20
min predicted
19
Jungle Cruise · 9 min ride
19
min predicted
20
Mr. Toad's Wild Ride · 2 min ride
17
min predicted
21
Snow White's Enchanted Wish · 3 min ride
16
min predicted
22
Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage · 14 min ride
16
min predicted
23
Storybook Land Canal Boats · 10 min ride
15
min predicted
24
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh · 3 min ride
12
min predicted
25
Pinocchio's Daring Journey · 3 min ride
12
min predicted
26
"it's a small world" · 11 min ride
11
min predicted
27
Mark Twain Riverboat · 10 min ride
10
min predicted
28
Disneyland Monorail · 10 min ride
9
min predicted
29
Casey Jr. Circus Train · 10 min ride
9
min predicted
30
King Arthur Carrousel · 10 min ride
7
min predicted
31
Disneyland Railroad · 10 min ride
6
min predicted
32
Davy Crockett's Explorer Canoes · 10 min ride
6
min predicted
33
Pirate's Lair on Tom Sawyer Island · 10 min ride
5
min predicted
34
Adventureland Treehouse inspired by Walt Disney’s Swiss Family Robinson · 10 min ride
5
min predicted

Prediction Accuracy (So Far)

100%
Accurate

Our predictions were 100% accurate so far today at Disneyland Park, with an average error of 3 minutes across 31 rides tracked.

A prediction is "accurate" when within 10 minutes of the actual average wait.

Daily Average by Ride 31 rides
Ride Predicted Actual Diff
Haunted Mansion 56m 48m ✓
Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance 54m 58m ✓
Space Mountain 49m 59m ✓
Matterhorn Bobsleds 36m 33m ✓
Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway 34m 32m ✓
Big Thunder Mountain Railroad 33m 37m ✓
Peter Pan's Flight 33m 31m ✓
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin 31m 28m ✓
Tiana's Bayou Adventure 31m 39m ✓
Alice in Wonderland 24m 23m ✓
Chip 'n' Dale's GADGETcoaster 23m 25m ✓
Pirates of the Caribbean 23m 20m ✓
Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run 23m 25m ✓
Star Tours - The Adventures Continue 23m 18m ✓
Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters 22m 22m ✓
Dumbo the Flying Elephant 22m 21m ✓
Autopia 21m 24m ✓
Astro Orbitor 20m 22m ✓
Jungle Cruise 19m 20m ✓
Mr. Toad's Wild Ride 17m 18m ✓
Snow White's Enchanted Wish 16m 15m ✓
Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage 16m 16m ✓
Storybook Land Canal Boats 15m 18m ✓
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh 12m 15m ✓
Pinocchio's Daring Journey 12m 12m ✓
"it's a small world" 11m 13m ✓
Mark Twain Riverboat 10m 10m ✓
Disneyland Monorail 9m 7m ✓
Casey Jr. Circus Train 9m 11m ✓
King Arthur Carrousel 7m 7m ✓
Disneyland Railroad 6m 8m ✓

Biggest miss: Space Mountain (predicted 49m, actual 59m).

Hourly Breakdown 7 hours

How accurate were predictions for each hour of the day, averaged across all rides.

Hour Accuracy Avg Error Rides
5 PM 53% 11m 30
6 PM 53% 11m 30
7 PM 39% 13m 31
8 PM 61% 9m 31
9 PM 70% 9m 30
10 PM 100% 3m 29
11 PM 93% 3m 29
Per-Ride Hourly Detail expand each ride
Haunted Mansion 8m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 36m 52m 16m
6 PM 43m 51m ✓
7 PM 46m 70m 24m
8 PM 50m 65m 15m
9 PM 46m 42m ✓
10 PM 46m 38m ✓
11 PM 34m 16m 18m
Star Wars: Rise of the Resistance 4m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 38m 73m 35m
6 PM 38m 50m 12m
7 PM 42m 56m 14m
8 PM 43m 68m 25m
9 PM 37m 42m ✓
Space Mountain 10m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 42m 58m 16m
6 PM 43m 72m 29m
7 PM 45m 63m 18m
8 PM 45m 80m 35m
9 PM 44m 58m 14m
10 PM 47m 44m ✓
11 PM 38m 33m ✓
Matterhorn Bobsleds 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 27m 39m 12m
6 PM 25m 38m 13m
7 PM 27m 45m 18m
8 PM 29m 42m 13m
9 PM 23m 40m 17m
10 PM 25m 19m ✓
11 PM 11m 16m ✓
Mickey & Minnie's Runaway Railway 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 31m 41m ✓
6 PM 29m 45m 16m
7 PM 25m 48m 23m
8 PM 21m 39m 18m
9 PM 0m 29m 29m
10 PM 16m 17m ✓
11 PM 13m 10m ✓
Big Thunder Mountain Railroad 4m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 22m 39m 17m
6 PM 27m 42m 15m
7 PM 29m 48m 19m
8 PM 32m 48m 16m
9 PM 30m 33m ✓
10 PM 33m 32m ✓
11 PM 24m 18m ✓
Peter Pan's Flight 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 24m 35m 11m
6 PM 26m 35m ✓
7 PM 28m 35m ✓
8 PM 25m 37m 12m
9 PM 0m 28m 28m
10 PM 28m 27m ✓
11 PM 25m 22m ✓
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 34m 38m ✓
6 PM 35m 38m ✓
7 PM 30m 39m ✓
8 PM 24m 30m ✓
9 PM 0m 22m 22m
10 PM 12m 18m ✓
11 PM 12m 11m ✓
Tiana's Bayou Adventure 8m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 46m 60m 14m
6 PM 43m 52m ✓
7 PM 33m 58m 25m
8 PM 27m 42m 15m
9 PM 20m 28m ✓
10 PM 22m 25m ✓
11 PM 13m 25m 12m
Alice in Wonderland 1m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 21m 29m ✓
6 PM 22m 28m ✓
7 PM 22m 31m ✓
8 PM 23m 26m ✓
9 PM 0m 21m 21m
10 PM 17m 17m ✓
11 PM 15m 14m ✓
Chip 'n' Dale's GADGETcoaster 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 20m 30m ✓
6 PM 23m 29m ✓
7 PM 24m 38m 14m
8 PM 22m 27m ✓
9 PM 0m 20m 20m
10 PM 10m 20m ✓
11 PM 6m 11m ✓
Pirates of the Caribbean 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 15m 24m ✓
6 PM 17m 30m 13m
7 PM 17m 28m 11m
8 PM 18m 26m ✓
9 PM 16m 19m ✓
10 PM 15m 8m ✓
11 PM 7m 5m ✓
Millennium Falcon: Smugglers Run 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 11m 37m 26m
6 PM 11m 32m 21m
7 PM 10m 32m 22m
8 PM 12m 26m 14m
9 PM 13m 13m ✓
10 PM 22m 19m ✓
11 PM 12m 15m ✓
Star Tours - The Adventures Continue 5m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 14m 20m ✓
6 PM 13m 25m 12m
7 PM 13m 27m 14m
8 PM 14m 26m 12m
9 PM 12m 13m ✓
10 PM 12m 10m ✓
11 PM 6m 8m ✓
Buzz Lightyear Astro Blasters 0m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 14m 32m 18m
6 PM 15m 32m 17m
7 PM 17m 32m 15m
8 PM 19m 29m ✓
9 PM 14m 18m ✓
10 PM 11m 8m ✓
11 PM 5m 5m ✓
Dumbo the Flying Elephant 1m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 14m 27m 13m
6 PM 16m 27m 11m
7 PM 21m 32m 11m
8 PM 22m 26m ✓
9 PM 13m 15m ✓
10 PM 11m 10m ✓
11 PM 8m 10m ✓
Autopia 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 14m 30m 16m
6 PM 21m 29m ✓
7 PM 23m 38m 15m
8 PM 23m 26m ✓
9 PM 18m 21m ✓
10 PM 21m 21m ✓
11 PM 10m 5m ✓
Astro Orbitor 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 10m 22m 12m
6 PM 12m 28m 16m
7 PM 18m 30m 12m
8 PM 19m 30m 11m
9 PM 16m 18m ✓
10 PM 15m 20m ✓
11 PM 9m 9m ✓
Jungle Cruise 1m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 12m 27m 15m
6 PM 14m 35m 21m
7 PM 14m 22m ✓
8 PM 12m 19m ✓
9 PM 12m 20m ✓
10 PM 11m 10m ✓
11 PM 8m 10m ✓
Mr. Toad's Wild Ride 1m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 12m 18m ✓
6 PM 12m 22m ✓
7 PM 15m 23m ✓
8 PM 15m 19m ✓
9 PM 0m 15m 15m
10 PM 9m 15m ✓
11 PM 8m 14m ✓
Snow White's Enchanted Wish 1m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 11m 18m ✓
6 PM 11m 22m 11m
7 PM 13m 25m 12m
8 PM 14m 19m ✓
9 PM 0m 12m 12m
10 PM 9m 5m ✓
11 PM 10m 5m ✓
Finding Nemo Submarine Voyage 0m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 15m 23m ✓
6 PM 17m 26m ✓
7 PM 15m 27m 12m
8 PM 15m 16m ✓
9 PM 10m 15m ✓
10 PM 7m 5m ✓
11 PM 6m 5m ✓
Storybook Land Canal Boats 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 9m 14m ✓
6 PM 11m 22m 11m
7 PM 16m 25m ✓
8 PM 18m 21m ✓
9 PM 11m 17m ✓
10 PM 11m 14m ✓
11 PM 9m 10m ✓
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh 3m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 8m 23m 15m
6 PM 10m 20m ✓
7 PM 11m 25m 14m
8 PM 10m 18m ✓
9 PM 8m 10m ✓
10 PM 7m 5m ✓
11 PM 6m 5m ✓
Pinocchio's Daring Journey 0m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 8m 17m ✓
6 PM 9m 15m ✓
7 PM 9m 18m ✓
8 PM 10m 21m 11m
9 PM 0m 6m ✓
10 PM 6m 5m ✓
11 PM 5m 5m ✓
"it's a small world" 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 8m 12m ✓
6 PM 7m 17m ✓
7 PM 9m 25m 16m
8 PM 15m 19m ✓
9 PM 13m 6m ✓
10 PM 12m 5m ✓
11 PM 5m 5m ✓
Mark Twain Riverboat 0m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 10m 10m ✓
6 PM 0m 10m ✓
7 PM 0m 10m ✓
8 PM 0m 10m ✓
Disneyland Monorail 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
7 PM 7m 15m ✓
8 PM 7m 11m ✓
9 PM 7m 5m ✓
10 PM 6m 5m ✓
11 PM 6m 5m ✓
Casey Jr. Circus Train 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 5m 9m ✓
6 PM 6m 15m ✓
7 PM 12m 18m ✓
8 PM 12m 14m ✓
9 PM 9m 14m ✓
10 PM 8m 5m ✓
11 PM 7m 5m ✓
King Arthur Carrousel 0m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 5m 5m ✓
6 PM 6m 7m ✓
7 PM 7m 13m ✓
8 PM 8m 9m ✓
9 PM 0m 5m ✓
10 PM 6m 5m ✓
11 PM 5m 5m ✓
Disneyland Railroad 2m off
Hour Pred Actual Diff
5 PM 6m 5m ✓
6 PM 6m 9m ✓
7 PM 7m 10m ✓
8 PM 8m 10m ✓
9 PM 7m 10m ✓
10 PM 8m 9m ✓
11 PM 6m 5m ✓
Based on 245,488 data points collected every 5 minutes. Last updated: 06:00 AM local.

Other Parks Today

Disney California Adventure
Moderate crowds