Big Thunder Mountain Railroad Reliability & Wait Patterns

Disneyland Park · Based on 28189 wait-time samples

Data updated October 12, 2026 · refreshed weekly from the last 180 days

0.33
Volatility Index (typical within-day swing)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful swings through the day.
30m
Typical (p50) wait
45m
Busy (p90) wait
65m
Worst-case (p99)
85m
Highest (last 180 days)

Weekend vs Weekday

25m
Weekday average
25m
Weekend average
0.99×
Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Big Thunder Mountain Railroad flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

99
Recorded breakdowns
61m
Typical (median) outage
4h 40m
Longest outage (2026-08-16)
7.7
Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

DateDown for
2026-10-1754m
2026-10-161h 20m
2026-10-151h 15m
2026-10-141h 34m
2026-10-131h 26m
2026-10-131h 29m
2026-10-091h 35m
2026-10-0811m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 59 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Share of running time the ride was down for an unplanned breakdown, by hour of the day (park-local time). Scheduled closures and refurbishments are not counted.

0
11%
8
4%
9
8%
10
8%
11
8%
12
7%
13
9%
14
8%
15
8%
16
8%
17
9%
18
7%
19
7%
20
7%
21
8%
22
9%
23
6%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW8910111213141516171819202122
Mon 13 19 28 30 30 30 31 28 32 32 33 32 33 26 27
Tue 11 18 23 24 26 24 24 25 25 28 31 36 34 28 26
Wed 9 14 20 22 23 20 22 21 22 21 22 26 27 25 24
Thu 11 16 21 26 25 25 25 26 27 28 32 36 34 27 24
Fri 9 15 23 23 26 21 22 23 23 22 27 28 32 29 33
Sat 10 18 25 28 26 25 25 22 25 26 26 28 32 26 27
Sun 12 17 22 24 24 23 24 24 27 29 32 35 35 24 22

Weather effect on waits

How the wait changed in each kind of weather, compared with this ride at the same hour on the same weekday within three weeks. Only differences marked “clear signal” are larger than day-to-day noise.

+0m
Clear · 756 ride-hours · within noise
-0m
Cloudy · 316 ride-hours · within noise

What causes this ride to spike

Waits for Big Thunder Mountain Railroad rise when these rides are DOWN, compared with the same hour on a normal day:

Tiana's Bayou Adventure
+4m (12%)

Want live waits + smart routing?

Plan a trip with RopeDrop →