Big Thunder Mountain Railroad Reliability & Wait Patterns

Disneyland Park · Based on 16185 wait-time samples

0.35
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Stable — waits stay close to the average throughout the day.
40m
Typical (p50) wait
55m
Busy (p90) wait
75m
Worst-case (p99)
85m
All-time max

Weekend vs Weekday

40m
Weekday average
40m
Weekend average
1.01×
Weekend multiplier

Real breakdown history (last 90 days)

Actual downtime episodes recorded by our live status tracker — every time Big Thunder Mountain Railroad flipped to DOWN and came back. Observed data, not estimates.

91
Recorded breakdowns
60m
Typical (median) outage
4h 40m
Longest outage (2026-08-16)
7.1
Breakdowns per week

Most recent outages

DateDown for
2026-08-311h 14m
2026-08-312h 37m
2026-08-3145m
2026-08-311h 40m
2026-08-2958m
2026-08-286m
2026-08-272h 39m
2026-08-272h 44m

Episodes under 5 minutes are excluded as status flicker; the typical-outage figure also excludes rare multi-hour artifacts (>8h). Breakdowns hit 54 different days in this window.

Downtime by hour

Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).

0
14%
1
14%
2
78%
3
97%
4
100%
5
100%
6
100%
7
100%
8
100%
9
100%
10
100%
11
15%
12
15%
13
13%
14
18%
15
16%
16
13%
17
13%
18
14%
19
12%
20
13%
21
8%
22
10%
23
15%

Best & worst hours by day of week

Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.

DOW8910111213141516171819202122
Mon 15 30 40 46 48 44 47 45 44 46 47 42
Tue 18 32 44 46 48 47 45 44 47 47 50 44
Wed 22 32 39 44 45 47 43 43 46 45 45 42
Thu 24 36 40 43 41 44 43 38 42 47 42 44
Fri 19 32 39 43 42 38 43 45 49 47 49 50
Sat 25 34 42 42 40 45 48 51 46 47 47 50
Sun 19 29 37 40 38 39 41 41 39 40 36 35

Weather effect on waits

Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:

41m
Clear
41m
Cloudy
36m
Drizzle
38m
Partly Cloudy

What causes this ride to spike

Waits for Big Thunder Mountain Railroad go up the most when these rides are DOWN:

Star Tours - The Adventures Continue
+8m (20%)
Peter Pan's Flight
+5m (12%)
Storybook Land Canal Boats
+-5m (-12%)
Walt Disney's Enchanted Tiki Room
+-5m (-13%)

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