Phantom Manor Reliability & Wait Patterns
Disneyland Paris · Based on 14792 wait-time samples
0.74
Volatility Index (coefficient of variation)
Moderately volatile — expect meaningful hourly swings.
10m
Typical (p50) wait
25m
Busy (p90) wait
40m
Worst-case (p99)
60m
All-time max
Weekend vs Weekday
11m
Weekday average
14m
Weekend average
1.28×
Weekend multiplier
Lightning Lane sell-out pattern
Phantom Manor sells out at a median of 20:06 local time, on 10 of 51 observed days (19%).
Downtime by hour
Rate of DOWN/CLOSED status per hour of the day (ET).
0
100%
100%
1
100%
100%
2
100%
100%
3
72%
72%
4
23%
23%
5
2%
2%
6
3%
3%
7
1%
1%
8
2%
2%
9
2%
2%
10
0%
0%
11
3%
3%
12
6%
6%
13
5%
5%
14
5%
5%
15
9%
9%
16
41%
41%
17
97%
97%
18
100%
100%
19
100%
100%
20
100%
100%
21
100%
100%
22
100%
100%
23
100%
100%
Best & worst hours by day of week
Average standby wait (minutes). Green = lowest of day, red = highest.
| DOW | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 18 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tue | 19 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wed | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Thu | 19 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Fri | 18 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sat | 26 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sun | 21 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Weather effect on waits
Average wait (minutes) in different weather conditions:
13m
Clear
11m
Cloudy
12m
Drizzle
12m
Partly Cloudy
13m
Rain
When this ride goes down
These rides spike in wait time when Phantom Manor is reported DOWN:
Star Wars Hyperspace Mountain
+5m (17%)
What causes this ride to spike
Waits for Phantom Manor go up the most when these rides are DOWN:
Disneyland Railroad Frontierland Depot
+6m (51%)
Disneyland Railroad Main Street Station
+5m (41%)
Le Carrousel de Lancelot
+-6m (-45%)
Dumbo the Flying Elephant
+-6m (-49%)
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