Hong Kong Disneyland Today
October 08, 2026 · Thursday
Moderate Crowds Expected
Hong Kong Disneyland expects moderate crowds on October 08, 2026, with an average predicted wait of 23 min minutes across 29 rides. The best time to arrive is 10 AM. Peak waits are predicted to reach 66 min minutes.
23 min
Avg Predicted Wait
66 min
Peak Predicted Wait
10 AM
Best Hour to Arrive
29
Rides Tracked
Today's Strategy
- Consider Lightning Lane for Meet CookieAnn at Duffy and Friends Play House — predicted 66+ min wait.
- Thursdays tend to be lighter — good day for headliners.
⏱ Rope Drop Pick
Early Theme Park Entry
Mystic Manor
5 min
vs 53 min peak
Save 48 min
RC Racer
10 min
vs 45 min peak
Save 35 min
All Guests
Mystic Manor
5 min
vs 53 min peak
Save 48 min
RC Racer
10 min
vs 45 min peak
Save 35 min
⏰ Peak Hours & Hotel Break
Peak Window
3 PM - 6 PM
Avg 37 min waits
Hotel Break
3 PM - 6 PM
Headliner waits average 37 min (3 PM-6 PM) vs 29 min park-wide. Skip the lines — hit the pool.
🍴 Dining Strategy
Eat dinner at 4 PM (headliners typically 39 min), then ride at 7 PM (26 min): about 13 min less per headliner.
Dinner
Eat at
4 PM
39 min headliner avg
→
Then ride at
7 PM
26 min headliner avg
What this saves you:
Mystic Manor
48 min
→
27 min
(-21)
Frozen Ever After – Presented by Blue Cross
35 min
→
15 min
(-20)
Wandering Oaken’s Sliding Sleighs
38 min
→
20 min
(-18)
About 13 min less per headliner ride
📈 Wait Time Escalation
How fast waits climb from park open. Headliners only.
Mystic Manor
+24 min in 3h
Park Open
5
min
+1h
24
min
+2h
33
min
+3h
29
min
Toy Soldier Parachute Drop
+23 min in 3h
Park Open
18
min
+1h
27
min
+2h
39
min
+3h
41
min
RC Racer
+20 min in 3h
Park Open
10
min
+1h
14
min
+2h
26
min
+3h
30
min
Hong Kong Disneyland — Predicted Crowd Level by Hour
Ride-by-Ride Predictions
Prediction Accuracy (So Far)
87%
Accurate
Our predictions were 87% accurate so far today at Hong Kong Disneyland, with an average error of 6 minutes across 23 rides tracked.
A prediction is "accurate" when within 10 minutes of the actual average wait.
Daily Average by Ride 23 rides
| Ride | Predicted | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meet LinaBell at Duffy and Friends Play House | 55m | 48m | ✓ |
| Toy Soldier Parachute Drop | 35m | 27m | ✓ |
| Meet StellaLou at Duffy and Friends Play House | 33m | 30m | ✓ |
| Playhouse in the Woods | 32m | 26m | ✓ |
| Mystic Manor | 30m | 13m | 17m off |
| RC Racer | 29m | 22m | ✓ |
| The Royal Reception Hall | 28m | 40m | 12m off |
| Wandering Oaken’s Sliding Sleighs | 27m | 13m | 14m off |
| Meet Duffy at Duffy and Friends Play House | 27m | 30m | ✓ |
| Big Grizzly Mountain Runaway Mine Cars | 25m | 16m | ✓ |
| Jungle River Cruise | 23m | 16m | ✓ |
| Iron Man Tech Showcase - Presented by Stark Industries | 20m | 24m | ✓ |
| Dumbo the Flying Elephant | 17m | 14m | ✓ |
| Frozen Ever After – Presented by Blue Cross | 17m | 9m | ✓ |
| Slinky Dog Spin | 16m | 14m | ✓ |
| Mickey's PhilharMagic | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh | 15m | 10m | ✓ |
| Iron Man Experience - Presented by AIA | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| Hyperspace Mountain | 10m | 6m | ✓ |
| Mad Hatter Tea Cups | 7m | 8m | ✓ |
| "it's a small world" | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| Ant-Man and The Wasp: Nano Battle! | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| Cinderella Carousel | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
Biggest miss: Mystic Manor (predicted 30m, actual 13m).
Hourly Breakdown 10 hours
How accurate were predictions for each hour of the day, averaged across all rides.
| Hour | Accuracy | Avg Error | Rides |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 79% | 5m | 14 |
| 11 AM | 86% | 5m | 21 |
| 12 PM | 70% | 7m | 23 |
| 1 PM | 78% | 7m | 23 |
| 2 PM | 70% | 8m | 23 |
| 3 PM | 52% | 12m | 23 |
| 4 PM | 57% | 12m | 23 |
| 5 PM | 65% | 9m | 23 |
| 6 PM | 73% | 8m | 22 |
| 7 PM | 75% | 8m | 16 |
Per-Ride Hourly Detail expand each ride
Meet LinaBell at Duffy and Friends Play House 7m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 46m | 45m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 48m | 53m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 47m | 45m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 51m | 49m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 55m | 54m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 56m | 45m | 11m |
| 4 PM | 59m | 45m | 14m |
| 5 PM | 58m | 45m | 13m |
| 6 PM | 51m | 45m | ✓ |
Toy Soldier Parachute Drop 8m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 18m | 10m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 27m | 11m | 16m |
| 12 PM | 39m | 25m | 14m |
| 1 PM | 41m | 36m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 43m | 27m | 16m |
| 3 PM | 50m | 35m | 15m |
| 4 PM | 50m | 31m | 19m |
| 5 PM | 42m | 30m | 12m |
| 6 PM | 41m | 30m | 11m |
Meet StellaLou at Duffy and Friends Play House 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 16m | 30m | 14m |
| 11 AM | 28m | 30m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 27m | 30m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 31m | 30m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 32m | 30m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 32m | 30m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 35m | 30m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 34m | 30m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 27m | 30m | ✓ |
Playhouse in the Woods 6m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 38m | 35m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 36m | 26m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 34m | 26m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 35m | 21m | 14m |
| 3 PM | 39m | 28m | 11m |
| 4 PM | 39m | 30m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 34m | 25m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 28m | 25m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 23m | 25m | ✓ |
Mystic Manor 17m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 24m | 24m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 33m | 20m | 13m |
| 1 PM | 29m | 7m | 22m |
| 2 PM | 35m | 6m | 29m |
| 3 PM | 53m | 15m | 38m |
| 4 PM | 48m | 16m | 32m |
| 5 PM | 35m | 11m | 24m |
| 6 PM | 37m | 10m | 27m |
| 7 PM | 27m | 8m | 19m |
RC Racer 7m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 PM | 26m | 18m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 30m | 27m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 34m | 30m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 42m | 22m | 20m |
| 4 PM | 45m | 20m | 25m |
| 5 PM | 39m | 20m | 19m |
| 6 PM | 38m | 20m | 18m |
| 7 PM | 30m | 20m | ✓ |
The Royal Reception Hall 12m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 32m | 30m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 33m | 31m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 33m | 31m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 39m | 39m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 43m | 47m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 42m | 50m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 41m | 50m | ✓ |
Wandering Oaken’s Sliding Sleighs 14m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 17m | 5m | 12m |
| 11 AM | 31m | 14m | 17m |
| 12 PM | 33m | 15m | 18m |
| 1 PM | 35m | 14m | 21m |
| 2 PM | 34m | 17m | 17m |
| 3 PM | 39m | 15m | 24m |
| 4 PM | 38m | 19m | 19m |
| 5 PM | 29m | 6m | 23m |
| 6 PM | 27m | 10m | 17m |
| 7 PM | 20m | 5m | 15m |
Meet Duffy at Duffy and Friends Play House 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 24m | 30m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 28m | 30m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 28m | 30m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 25m | 30m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 29m | 30m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 34m | 30m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 30m | 30m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 30m | 30m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 30m | 30m | ✓ |
Big Grizzly Mountain Runaway Mine Cars 9m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 19m | 5m | 14m |
| 11 AM | 31m | 5m | 26m |
| 12 PM | 26m | 5m | 21m |
| 1 PM | 27m | 7m | 20m |
| 2 PM | 28m | 20m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 40m | 23m | 17m |
| 4 PM | 41m | 17m | 24m |
| 5 PM | 39m | 19m | 20m |
| 6 PM | 39m | 20m | 19m |
| 7 PM | 34m | 18m | 16m |
Jungle River Cruise 7m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 18m | 15m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 21m | 15m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 20m | 20m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 22m | 15m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 26m | 21m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 24m | 17m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 21m | 17m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 23m | 13m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 25m | 10m | 15m |
Iron Man Tech Showcase - Presented by Stark Industries 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 18m | 20m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 24m | 20m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 21m | 23m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 24m | 30m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 26m | 24m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 24m | 30m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 22m | 21m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 22m | 20m | ✓ |
Dumbo the Flying Elephant 3m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 13m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 13m | 10m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 16m | 14m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 17m | 11m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 17m | 18m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 21m | 20m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 21m | 20m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 26m | 18m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 28m | 20m | ✓ |
Frozen Ever After – Presented by Blue Cross 8m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 19m | 13m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 19m | 17m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 19m | 5m | 14m |
| 1 PM | 22m | 8m | 14m |
| 2 PM | 34m | 10m | 24m |
| 3 PM | 41m | 14m | 27m |
| 4 PM | 35m | 10m | 25m |
| 5 PM | 23m | 7m | 16m |
| 6 PM | 19m | 5m | 14m |
| 7 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
Slinky Dog Spin 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 PM | 18m | 16m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 17m | 15m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 17m | 10m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 23m | 14m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 28m | 19m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 19m | 13m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 21m | 11m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 18m | 10m | ✓ |
Mickey's PhilharMagic 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 19m | 15m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 20m | 15m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 16m | 15m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 15m | 15m | ✓ |
The Many Adventures of Winnie the Pooh 5m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 15m | 8m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 20m | 12m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 24m | 16m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 29m | 11m | 18m |
| 4 PM | 25m | 14m | 11m |
| 5 PM | 19m | 10m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 15m | 11m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 12m | 9m | ✓ |
Iron Man Experience - Presented by AIA 7m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 18m | 5m | 13m |
| 1 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 16m | 5m | 11m |
| 3 PM | 22m | 5m | 17m |
| 4 PM | 20m | 5m | 15m |
| 5 PM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
Hyperspace Mountain 4m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 21m | 5m | 16m |
| 1 PM | 23m | 9m | 14m |
| 2 PM | 22m | 7m | 15m |
| 3 PM | 26m | 6m | 20m |
| 4 PM | 25m | 10m | 15m |
| 5 PM | 16m | 5m | 11m |
| 6 PM | 14m | 5m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 11m | 5m | ✓ |
Mad Hatter Tea Cups 1m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 11m | 15m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 13m | 13m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 16m | 7m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 15m | 10m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 12m | 8m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
"it's a small world" 2m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 13m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 13m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 8m | 5m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
Ant-Man and The Wasp: Nano Battle! 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 10m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 12m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 15m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 7 PM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
Cinderella Carousel 0m off
| Hour | Pred | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 11 AM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 12 PM | 5m | 5m | ✓ |
| 1 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 2 PM | 6m | 5m | ✓ |
| 3 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 4 PM | 9m | 5m | ✓ |
| 5 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
| 6 PM | 7m | 5m | ✓ |
Based on 104,034 data points collected every 5 minutes.
Last updated: 07:45 PM CST.